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💡 Implied Probability Calc

Convert bookmaker odds into implied probabilities to identify value bets. Compare against your own assessment.

Implied Probability

40.0%

Edge

+5.0%

Verdict

VALUE BET

What is this tool?

An implied probability calculator converts bookmaker odds into percentage chances. This reveals what the bookmaker thinks the probability of an outcome is, allowing you to compare it with your own assessment to find value bets.

How to use it

1Enter the bookmaker odds in decimal format
2The calculator converts them to a percentage probability
3Compare this percentage with your own assessment of the outcome
4If your assessed probability is higher than implied, the bet may offer value

When to use it

Use this to identify value bets. If 1xBet offers 3.00 on Uzbekistan to beat Colombia, the implied probability is 33%. If you believe Uzbekistan has a 40% chance, that is a value bet worth considering.

💡 Pro tip

Bookmaker odds include a margin (overround). The sum of implied probabilities across all outcomes will exceed 100%. The difference is the bookmaker's profit margin, typically 3-8% for football markets.

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